Quantitative Impact Analysis of Uganda’s Senior Citizens Grant

This paper assesses the causal effects of Uganda’s Senior Citizens Grant (SCG) on the well-being of older people and their families. It employs a combination of evaluative approaches to develop statistically comparable groups of older people and impact estimators based on Uganda’s latest census and four national household survey datasets between 2011 and 2017.

The SCG is associated with a strong increase in household expenditure and it reduced the poverty rate among recipients by an estimated 19 percentage points. It generated a significant increase in recipients’ ability to purchase clothing, personal hygiene items, and other goods such as mobile phones. Improvements were also detected in the intake of food, with an increase in the share of recipients eating at least two meals per day.